During December, the US stock markets continued their price correction. As can be seen in the chart below, the S&P 500 Index finished the year within the declining trend channel (please refer to the downward-sloping red dashed lines) identified by the pink arrow on the far right of the chart.
PRIMARY TREND: RISING (but correcting)
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com
The S&P finished the month of December 4.01% below the Blue Line, compared to 1.50% above the Blue Line at the end of November. Price continues to remain below the Blue Line, which, according to our investment process suggests continued caution.
THE “BLUE LINE”: A CLOSER LOOK
Chart courtesy of StockCharts.com
Thank you for reading this condensed update. If you are not an existing client, are within fifteen years or retirement or have recently retired, and would like to learn how our process may help limit investment losses to improve your long-term returns, please call (833) 258-2583.
The BLUE LINE INVESTING® (BLI) investment process was founded on over 95 years of stock market history. It seeks to identify and align investment decisions with multiyear trends. Various aspects of this process have been illustrated in my book Protecting The Pig: How Stock Market Trends Reveal the Way to Grow and Preserve Your Wealth.
The S&P 500 Index is one of the most commonly followed equity indices, and many consider it one of the best representations of the U.S. stock market, and a bellwether for the U.S. economy. It is comprised of 500 large companies having common stock listed on the NYSE or NASDAQ. The volatility (beta) of the account may be greater or less than the index. It is not possible to invest directly in this index.
Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistics generated by market activity, such as past prices and volumes. Technical analysis attempts to predict a future stock price or direction based on market trends. The assumption is that the market follows discernible patterns and if these patterns can be identified then a prediction can be made. The risk is that markets may not always follow patterns. There are certain limitations to technical analysis research, such as the calculation results being impacted by changes in security price during periods of market volatility. Technical analysis is one of many indicators that may be used to analyze market data for investing purposes and should not be considered a guaranteed prediction of market activity. The opinions expressed are those of BLI. The opinions referenced are as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. BLI reserves the right to modify its current investment strategies based on changing market dynamics or client needs.
Past performance is not indicative of future results. This material is not financial advice or an offer to sell any product. The information contained herein should not be considered a recommendation to purchase or sell any particular security. Forward looking statements cannot be guaranteed.
Guardian Wealth Advisors, LLC (“GWA”) is an investment adviser registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training. More information about GWA’s investment advisory services can be found in its Form CRS or Form ADV Part 2, which is available upon request.